My BS meter was pegged and then it was shattered!


I’m writing in regards to 2 different write-ups from the latest Stereophile issues, 1 on the Innuos server and the other article was on the rant on tariffs and what it is going to do to the economy.

As for music servers, How big do you have to make a server to compete with a simple dumb technology CD/SACD player which a lot of people call the standard? I also wish the reviewer of such an article would either question some of the statements given to them from the manufacturer or do some investigation legwork to learn some of this technology before printing it, because it doesn’t look good if its not accurate.

Some of the details of the Innuous server that raised my BS meter are:

1) Real time OS claim. Why is this a big deal, we have been assigning CPU cores to processes for over a decade in Linux. This is called processor affinity or CPU pinning. Why not write software that takes advantage of parallel processing/parallel computing which has been around for ages.

2) Audiocore. Same as #1 above. Nothing new.

3) more processor cores. Why? How many cores does it take to read a disk/ssd and transfer the data down a path? 4? 6? 8? 24? The claim is they needed new processors with more cores and retain lower power consumption. Why? Most of the time when you put more cores in a system the core speeds are lower. Depending on how efficient the software is written, it might be more wise to put in less faster cores if you can’t multi-task over multiple cores, which is called parallel computing or parallel processing. Also, they use the  Intel i7 processor which is the worst chip to use if you want to lower your power consumption and keep your system running efficiently. ARM and Apple Silicon chips are the new technologies that blow away any current Intel processor in relation to power and efficiency. 

4) Flexibility. A lot of talk about simple processes. This system uses a DAS configuration for their storage instead of RAID, this can be good or bad. If you don’t have a backup (you should), then you should use RAID 1 or 5, but DAS is the easy way out. Then there is a bad explanation on the use of PSLC ssd, and they claim this is a good thing over using SLC. Here is their definition of PSLC ssd: "which means that only every second or 3rd bit is used for storage -- just 1 bit per storage cell". WHAT???? Here is the official description of PSLC:

pSLC, or pseudo-Single Level Cell, is a type of NAND flash memory that emulates the characteristics of SLC by using MLC or TLC NAND flash. In pSLC mode, only one bit per cell is used instead of two or more, effectively converting an MLC or TLC cell into an SLC cell. This approach leverages the cost advantages of MLC or TLC NAND while significantly enhancing performance and endurance.

Bottomline, you use pSLC is to save money, not increase performance. In using pSLC, they use the cheapest MLC or TLC NAND flash (high density NAND) and try to emulate SLC. If a server costs $20k, why not just use the best NAND flash which is SLC. 

This next part is where my BS meter was shattered. 

In the "As we see it"  article of last months issue, we have an audio guy trying to tell us how the global economy is working out, how bad tariffs are, how bad we will be affected, the dollar losing value, the stock market crashing, and our GDP dropping to 1.8%. He stated this rant was at the end of April.

Let me tell you, he couldn’t be more wrong!

Here are the facts about our economy this year. The start of the ’V’ shaped recovery started the 1st week of April this year. With all the unknowledgeable  people claiming the sky is falling, a recession is coming, I sold all my money market funds and got back into the market the 1st week of April. This Stereophile reviewer claimed the market was down 11% when he wrote this article at the end of April. That’s funny because the market was way up at the end of April, and my portfolio was up over $300,000 in less than 4 weeks. Since this reviewer stated that certain audio companies were raising their prices by 10-15% (which I don’t think this occurred), if a piece of audio gear was $100,000 and they raised the price to $110,000, I think my $300,000 gain would cover that. But It gets even better.

We are now in late July, the market is booming, tariffs are being worked out, no recession, a lot of tariff deals have been made with the EU, China, UK, Japan, and other countries, and our 2nd qtr GDP was 3%, far cry from the reviewer predicted 1.8% GDP. As of today, I am up $1.4M since the 1st week of April. With gains like this, I wouldn’t balk paying a 10% upcharge for any tariff cost on a $100,000-$200,000 piece of equipment or car. I would suggest that Stereophile stick to writing about audio gear and leave the economy/market facts to the people who do this for a living.

p05129

Glad you made out like a bandit this time but remember, the hall of fame for market timers is a big empty room.  🤣

@bigtwin 

You couldn’t be more wrong - in the post 2008 cycle - John Paulson, David Tepper, Michael Burry to name a few.

In prior cycles - the big fish George Soros and a whole bunch of other guys who ended up becoming legendary hedge fund managers

if you’re doing so well can I get you to GoFundMe like one percent of that $1.4 million that you made. 

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OP should use some of that money to start their own hedge fund, audio publication, and develop a new streamer.

Well you lost your credibility immediately when you implied that an RTOS could be replaced by dedicated cores. Not the same thing. RTOS is all about low latency, not necessarily fast, but extremely predictable and atomic operations.

Suggesting they use fewer but faster cores sounds great! But maybe their goal is not faster, but quieter. Just a guess, but you actually have no idea why the design decisions were made.

As for financial results, I am glad you made your quarterly numbers, the Board has decided to award you with additional stock options even though your long term strategy is questionable and you’ll be gone before our company tanks.

 

Talking about the economy in terms of the stock market leaves out the economic well being of working class and poor people. Their income and assets are less tied to market fluctuations, and rising stock prices often don't translate to better wages, job security, or affordable living for them.

The stock market way of looking at "the" economy is myopic, ethically problematic, and probably one major reason we have a social situation filled with anger and resentment. My two cents.

No doubt, folks paying six figures for luxury items like hifi gear can afford to pay what amounts to a sales tax in the form of tariffs, although its naive to think higher prices won't impact buying decisions.  People buying their clothes at Wal Mart may have a different experience as these taxes are imposed on them in the form of higher prices.  

The sudden lurch away from traditional, conservative trade policy is an experiment with an uncertain result. The idea that we can declare the result-good or bad-after a few months seems to ignore how economies function. In the meantime, there is little doubt that American consumers will be paying more for goods as these tax increases are passed on. This will include hifi gear and will surely impact this market, like any other. As an American, I hope this new approach works, but the history is not encouraging. 

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent" - John Maynard Keynes.

Eg:  Stock Market 1926-1929, 2005-2008

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The S&P is up 23% since April 2025.    For you to realize a $1.4 million ROI over a few months, your portfolio was already in the $$$ millions.   And you’re complaining about an audio review?

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Collateral damage.

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Investing to get your little slice of the economic pie is the only chance most people who start with little, even with a valuable skill or education, have to get ahead at all.    Been there, done that!

Problem these days in particular is those with little tend to have little if anything to invest.  Most are also not just sitting around on a sofa mooching off the government as portrayed.  Most work long and hard already, are getting less and less to show for it due to low wages + inflation.

What would  happen if jobs that went overseas to economies where people earn less in order to make a bigger profit were to come back?  Guess who would benefit? Big if...not likely to happen.  They left for a reason originally.

To predict what will happen, always just follow the money.   Most of it belongs to just a handful that have control of pretty much everything.  These days that includes more and more real estate/housing options (surprise!) as well.  Some people call them oligarchs. 

High end enthusiasts will get by just fine.  They either have teh money to pay more or there are always less expensive options that perform well out there.  I won't be crying over it.

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Who needs a $20K streamer? Get a Wiim Pro for $200. Spending 100 times more gets you a trophy to brag about to your clueless buddies.

Happy for you. Facts are facts and the tariffs work. 

Liberal psychos will get this thread shutdown in no time. 

Barry and Joe did this, just as the Democrat party and the MSM for 12 years. To funny. 

The stock market way of looking at "the" economy is myopic, ethically problematic, and probably one major reason we have a social situation filled with anger and resentment. My two cents.

Gents, interesting conversation and it would be great to continue it before the administrators close the topic. My comment is; increasing prices in a hobby already overpriced will insure widespread adoption will not occur and the hobby will compress to being wealthy or older guys with assets to waste. While this might appeals to ego's it makes sharing this wonderful hobby with the younger generation. I want this hobby to be broader based and available to more, not less.

Just my two cents worth. As an economist, I am anti-tariff because it is simply creating chaos that is unnecessary and is simply financing the grievances of an individual who is a misanthrope at heart. 

 

"As of today, I am up $1.4M since the 1st week of April."

Well, as long as it's benefiting you that's all that matters, right?

At least as of yesterday I’m about back where I was when Biden left regarding investments value but my money buys me a lot less now than then.  I'm much better off than most though!

Keep in mind with a malignant narcissist, always substitute the word "me" for "us" and the true meaning will be clear.   Try it and see!

An interesting thing with stereo systems is that the level of enjoyment is based solely the emotional connection created with each unique listener.  My current system sounds wonderful to me but, I cannot say my level of enjoyment (or excitement)  surpasses what I achieved with my early days system of NAD electronics, A/D/S L810s, and Thorens TD 166 MKII turntable, or even before that with a Sansui 5000 receiver, DIY Jensen 12-inch triaxial speakers, and a Philips 312 turntable. More expensive gear doesn't necessarily equal happiness.

As with any industry, audio equipment manufacturers have a goal of making money, which means increasing sales, revenue, and profit.  To do that, they need to keep pushing the envelope with new and better products at the high end, bringing improved sound quality at lower prices to the middle, as well as creating new ancillaries (cables and tweaks) so we have more rabbit holes to go down.  No surprise, just a fact of business.  I wouldn't worry about the younger folks, most don't have the money now (most of us didn't at their age), but they will someday and then they and the manufacturers will figure it out. It may not look the same but, who cares, by then it will be their world. 

Regarding the tariffs, the whole point is to level the playing field and promote/support manufacturing in the USA, which should result in jobs.  The effort has already created more trade deals favorable to USA than before, and the goal is to have even more.  Jobs are up and the labor force participation rate is still on a recovery from the steep drop off during COVID (shutting down the country, asking people to stay home, and paying them not to work will have that effect).  The middle class problem is that the three key elements of food, housing, and transportation all keep getting more expensive and wages have not kept up.  On a personal basis, the solution is getting an education or a trade skill in a field where workers are needed, getting a job, and continuing to improve your position (and therefore pay).  You cannot judge the effect of tariffs by looking at one week of stock market reactions, since the market typically doesn't respond favorably to rumors or change.  If jobs and GDP numbers (3% up in Q2) go up, so will the market.

I’m also anti-tariff IF everyone follows this practice.  Unfortunately, this is not the case and the prolonged trade deficit is like going over a cliff.  I dislike the price hikes and short term 1-3yrs market uncertainty, but trade balance is much better for  longer term prosperity.