Supply chain affecting anyone?


Just found out from my dealer that my Sonus Faber speakers won’t deliver until early January (ordered in early October). For reference, he says it normally takes 2-3 weeks. 
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I'm lucky in that my system is pretty much set, although I did order some Psvane tubes last week, still waiting on shipping date.

The one thing I don't hear anyone anywhere talking about is demographics. Did they forget about the baby boom generation, yes, they are working in retirement in larger percentages than previous generations, still much lost productivity. And then, these retired people have more disposable income than past retired generations, thus, demand remains relatively high. Forget about unemployment stats, look at workforce participation stats!
On top of this we have many privileged in younger generation, increased family wealth distributed to children means more likely they can pick and choose what work to take on. Anecdotally, I have many nieces, nephews, and now great nieces, nephews and their friends in this position.

So these are a couple factors in high demand. On supply side, US trade deficits continue to grow, we're a demand country with no real control over supply. The pandemic obviously has had great affect on supply, shut down plants, but they've had time to rebuild supply. China is even beginning to have supply demand issues, many Chinese are now in middle class, no longer want factory work, many factories lacking workers. China also suffering from the one child mandate, their demographic issues somewhat like here.
And I haven't even touched on increased demand from other countries. We now live in world with increasing demand countries and increasingly scarce supply countries. Funny, this is an inevitable outcome of a maturing worldwide capitalist system, lots of wealth built over many decades that allows people/countries to eliminate many elements of productive activity, that productive element goes to rapidly developing countries with much productive hunger, and then they mature and become more like the more mature capitalist countries. Barring racism, Africa may have to become the new suppliers to world. Suppliers to the world ain't coming from the demand countries anytime soon.

Hard to see a new paradigm in near future, I'd expect some lessening of present circumstance in near term, but I'd say get used to new world in longer run. We've been spoiled with nearly unbelievable supply chains in recent decades, the geniuses who run the machine always fail to take the long term view.
And then I could touch upon the earth's capacity to support this population and it's geographic distribution.


@mtbiker29One dealer does not make a supply chain. To believe that all the shortages of labor and parts has no effect on the supply chain is wrong
 Ridiculously wrong. Go ahead and believe fake news if you like. Just because they won't show it doesn't mean it isn't happening.. it is. 
My Roon Nucleus took about 3 weeks to deliver.  My McIntosh integrated is taking a couple of months (was told up front, ~8 weeks from order).  And now the speakers in January, which is ~3.5 months from when I placed the order (assuming they arrive on time).
What a lot of us are missing is it is not just supply chain and logistics but labor also.
Demand is high for skilled and unskilled labor globally and the labor pools are quite shallow.
In countries throughout Europe and Asia many are just staying home because of the fear of COVID19 and it's variants.

Labor demographic in China and America is a good point...

Restriction caused by pandemics and especially by the stupidest health politic of all times in history across more of  the rich countries..

Economic traditional war means and methods between China and America and the rest of the world...

Robotisation and the coming stagflation will add something...

But the "third" world war has already begun and it is not one nation against another one so much like in the past, it is a war in the cyber space of one against all others .... All our vital links are in network: water, alimentation etc NOT only  sensible information...

A.I. and all bio technology are more  an arm race than an economical race now more than ever...

Then i am not optimist....

Technology controlled by cporporations without heart is called completely wrongly "science" by most, but here the religious cultist are ritght: it is autodestruction...




Sciences is not knowledge, and "science" is not technology....Awakening of humanity is no more a wish or a dream but a fact now and a necessity....It is the only optimistic point....