I feel as though there are very few hard and fast rules when it comes to tubes. I think it is always a gamble and there are ways to reduce your risk of a not so great outcome.
I've experienced:
The comments above about not knowing how long any given tube will last are spot on. We never know.
I've experienced:
- Used preamp tubes lasting forever with no noise or microphonic.
- Used preamp tubes lasting 500 - 1000 and fading out fast.
- New preamp tubes outperforming some great NOS offerings, even those sold by great dealers with great reputations for quality.
- Inexpensive reissue preamp tubes performing much quieter than expensive NOS. Laugh if you want, but Electro Harmonix 6922s, 12AT7s and others are very quiet and lovely sounding.
- Used preamp tubes sounding like heaven in a vacuum.
- New reissue preamp tubes falling down at 1000-2000 hours. Unacceptable, but common.
- New power or preamp tubes actually sounding their best earliest in their life--despite all of the notions that hundreds of hours of break in make things sound better.
- A reissue or NOS sounding not so great in one circuit but ok or great in another.
The comments above about not knowing how long any given tube will last are spot on. We never know.