Gene DellaSala Has Coronavirus

Well, now that we have a National Emergency announced by the pres I suspect we’ll see things improve considerably. 

Huh? An expert is someone who used to be a drip under pressure.

The good news. More than 126,000 have been infected globally, according to the WHO. About 68,000 victims have recovered, according to Johns Hopkins University, which is tracking the virus.

mtrot
”In the US the numbers are 1537 cases and 40 deaths. That equates to a mortality rate of just over 2.5%."

No, it doesn’t, at all. Those 1537 cases are the KNOWN cases. How many more people out there have it and are experiencing either none or mild symptoms and have not come to the attention of the medical community? It could be in the thousands. To get an accurate mortality rate, you would have to include ALL those cases in the denominator. I suspect that Dr. Fauci is correct that the mortality rate will be around that 1% level or less. Granted, that would be ~10 times that of the seasonal flu, but certainly not the 3-5% figure that the alarmists are throwing out there.

>>>You don’t know what you don’t know. The data is based on confirmed cases. We’ve already been over that. If you feel better making up some numbers be my guest. As I’ve already pointed out the 1% rate, if that’s what Fauci said, which I doubt, is incorrect. The mortality rate in the US can be calculated every day since new data is available each day. It has remained relatively constant since the beginning. Today Friday the new numbers are 1762 and 41 for a new rate of 2.3%. As I reported recently the mortality rate in Italy is much higher than the US. 

What a maroon. 

You flunked math, right? The only source that counts is the Johns Hopkins database, Einstein. China’s mortality rate is 4%. And it’s always been about 4%.

No shirt, Sherlock.

Say, aren’t you the math wizard who posted this earlier today?

”Initially as noted earlier here, the initial numbers in China were showing the approximate same projected mortality rate as our early numbers. Now with a much larger pool of data it’s less than 1/2 of 1%.”

A flying Petri dish. 

I trust they will still serve pastries, Uber. 

There are many variables involved with this thing, age, health, location, prevention effectiveness, etc. I am only giving the big picture in these numbers. The problem is that the threat is growing here in the US. It doesn’t go away by itself or die in warm weather. Read my lips. 👄 Maryland governor just announced sweeping measures to fight the growing threat. Other states are surely to follow.

WHO global map of confirmed Coronavirus cases, even Iceland has it,

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/locations-confirmed-cases.html

China numbers currently, 80,796 cases and 3,169 deaths, mortality rate of 4%.

glubson, obviously the risk is higher for older persons and especially older persons with underlying health issues. Mortality rate is just straight numbers. If you find a breakdown of the numbers by age please share. If memory serves Johns Hopkins is keeping the global database.

No shirt, Sherlock. We don’t know what we don’t know. But what we do know is bad enough. 

In Italy the numbers are 15,113 and 1,000. Do the math.

In the US the numbers are 1537 cases and 40 deaths. That equates to a mortality rate of just over 2.5%. 

Actually, the current data worldwide for Coronavirus is close to 4% mortality rate. Check it out. As of 30 minutes ago,

Coronavirus update: 124,578 cases, 4,584 deaths, WHO declares a pandemic

I blame the virus. 

Maybe it will be like War of the Worlds, the coronavirus is killed by the common cold. Or like Mars Attacks, the aliens are killed by playing yodel music of Slim Whitman who, frankly, looks a lot like an alien. 

It is possible to learn.

>>>>I disagree. 😬

Of course the number of actual cases is almost certainly considerably higher than the number of confirmed cases due to a number of issues including incubation period and testing itself. With this in mind an estimate of 64,000 confirmed cases in two weeks in the US could be a very optimistic number. 

It’s basically a numbers game. One week ago there were 100 cases in US. Now, a week later it’s 1000. In a week, at that rate, it will be 8000, and in two weeks 64,000. If they can get a handle on stopping the spread of the virus of course the outcome will be better.